At long last there was some good news for the Bank of England to reinforce its forecast that inflation would fall back sharply in 2012. The main reason for the 0.6% drop from Novembers 4.8% figure was due to reductions at the fuel pump and high street clothing companies discounting their goods in order to woe customers. The downward trend has continued since its 3 year high of 5.2% in September 2011.
Whilst inflation is still above the Bank of England’s target of 2% inflation they will be reassured that inflation will be below their target rate by the end of 2012,with the continued downturn in the economy forcing prices to be kept in check supported by reducing energy prices.
With the probability that energy suppliers will continue to reduce their prices for electricity and gas this should help in the war against inflation ,adding support to the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee’s to continue with its policy of quantitative easing asset purchases.
The Office of National Statistics who released the data said that December’s reduction to a six month low was attributed to a reversal in factors that forced up inflation in 2010.
Surprisingly The Office for National Statistics revealed that there was little evidence to show supermarkets heavily discounting food in December, however the cost of alcohol had a record monthly drop.
Analyst for Jefferies International, Marchel Alexandrovich said “The figure was bang in line with expectations. This is a beginning of a downward trend that will see inflation fall back towards 3% by springtime as the VAT rise drops out and energy prices fall.
He continued: "The inflation back drop will improve going forward which will make it easier for the Bank of England to do more quantitative easing in the next couple of months.
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